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U.S. equity futures edged higher Monday, while the dollar extended declines against its global peers and Treasury yields steadied, as investors looked to protect a solid November rally amid a light calendar of events in the holiday-shortened week.
Stocks notched their third consecutive weekly gain Friday, the longest winning streak since July, taking the S&P 500 to a searing November gain of 7.64% and putting the benchmark less than 2% from the 52-week highs it reached earlier this summer.
The Treasury yield pullback that has triggered the remarkable November rally, however, has been stuck in neutral for the past few sessions, and could turn sharply if today’s 20-year bond auction sees a slump in foreign demand of a big decline in domestic participation. The Treasury will publish the results at around 1:00 pm Eastern time.
Benchmark 10-year notes yields were last seen trading at 4.453% heading into the early New York session, while 2-year notes held at 4.893% following Friday’s better-than-expected October housing data.
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The larger moves overnight, however, were in the U.S. dollar, which fell 0.41% to a fresh two-month low of 103.478 against a basket of its global peers, and well below its 200-day moving average, as investors continue to discount any Federal Reserve rate hikes while pricing in cuts for as early as May.
Investors will likely focus on language from the Fed’s November policy decision, which held rates steady for a second consecutive month at between 5.25% and 5.5%, when minutes of the two-day meeting are released Wednesday, for indications as to how policymakers are viewing the central bank’s rate path.
A smattering of earnings over the next three days, including a third quarter update from Nvidia (NVDA) – Get Free Report after the close of trading on Tuesday, will also keep Wall Street focused ahead of Thursday’s market holiday and the traditionally thin liquidity of Black Friday.
Heading into the start of the trading day, futures contracts tied to the S&P 500 are indicating a modest 5 point advance while those linked to the Dow Jones Industrial Average are priced for a 25 point gain. The tech-focused Nasdaq, which is up 9.92% for the month, is set for a 30 point boost.
In overseas markets, Europe’s Stoxx 600 was little-changed in early Frankfurt trading, with drugmaker Bayer AG plunging 20% to a new all-time low following the cancellation of late-stage trials of its blood-thinning treatment.
Overnight in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 touched a fresh 33-year intra-day high of 33,853.46 points before profit taking pushed the benchmark 0.59% lower in the session, while the region-wide MSCI ex-Japan index was marked 0.91% higher into the close of trading.
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