China’s trade performance strengthened further in August, with exports accelerating from 23.9% to 25.0% y/y and imports rising from 27.5% to 28.2%. The trade surplus widened from USD 112.5bn to USD 119.09bn, taking the cumulative Read more…
The divergence in China’s economy became even more pronounced over the past quarter as consumer demand weakened further while export growth reached new heights and tech keeps booming. We expect this two-speed economy to continue Read more…
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Strong Japanese GDP and wage data have pushed a September BoJ hike to near-certainty, and while AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY are both falling on Yen strength, the underlying stories differ — Australia’s hawkish RBA narrative is Read more…
Key Highlights Gold started a downside correction from $4,700 and tested the $4,280 support. A bearish trend line is forming with resistance at $4,480 on the 4-hour chart. WTI Crude Oil remained elevated and might Read more…
The short-term Elliott Wave view for the S&P 500 (SPX) indicates that the cycle from the June 9 low is approaching maturity. The structure is close to completing a five-wave impulsive sequence. From that low, Read more…
Australian business conditions deteriorated sharply in August, with the NAB Business Conditions Index falling from 4 to -1, a 5-point decline that pushed the measure into negative territory for the first time in six years Read more…
Australian consumer sentiment deteriorated sharply in September, with the Westpac–Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index falling from 88.9 to 84.4, a -5.2% monthly decline that pushed confidence back toward the deeply pessimistic levels seen earlier this Read more…
Japan’s wage data strengthened sharply in July, adding weight to the case for further BoJ normalization. Nominal cash earnings accelerated from a revised 4.0% to 4.7% y/y, the fastest increase since 1997 and well above Read more…