We maintain our call for two Fed rate hikes in December and March. We still see an elevated risk of more persistent inflation pressure and a tighter labour market. The post Research US – Defying Read more…
Key Highlights USD/JPY started a major decline from the 160.40 zone. It traded below a key bullish trend line with support at 159.70 on the 4-hour chart. WTI Crude Oil prices could gain bullish momentum Read more…
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RBNZ is still pointing toward higher rates, but it is becoming increasingly clear that policymakers may want a break before next move. Assistant Governor Karen Silk told Bloomberg today that December looks more likely than Read more…
EURJPY continues to present a clear risk of a larger‑degree correction against the cycle that began at the February 2025 low. The internal structure of this pullback is forming as a double three, which is Read more…
The Dollar’s selloff this week reflects two separate pressures — a Yen repricing tied to faster BoJ tightening and Fed Governor Waller’s lean toward a September hold — and Gold has rebounded sharply as an Read more…
BoE Chief Economist Huw Pill argued for a prompt increase in Bank Rate to 4%, warning that waiting for uncertainty around Middle East conflict and inflation transmission to resolve could leave monetary policy behind curve. Read more…
We expect the ECB to raise policy rates by 25bp on Thursday 10 September, taking the deposit rate to 2.50%, in line with consensus and market pricing. We expect Lagarde to retain full optionality on Read more…
Key insights from the week that was. Australia’s Q2 GDP came in slightly above expectations at 0.4%, 2.1%yr. Upward revisions to earlier data notwithstanding, there has been a clear loss of momentum from H2 2025 Read more…