Baseline: +74k NFP; unemployment rising to 4.3% from 4.2%. July: +73k with -258k net downward revisions; mounting political pressure on the BLS. Labour demand is cooling: Atlanta Fed Job-Switchers wage growth 4.3% y/y; NFIB shows vacancies easier to fill. Implications: tilts toward a 17 Sep Fed cut; risks from upside surprises and data-quality uncertainty. The […]
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