RBA on hold as expected, recognising the data has broken against its hawkish narrative. Base case clearly an extended period on hold, but RBA will hike if upside risks to inflation materialise. As widely expected, Read more…
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Easing concerns over the situation in the Strait of Hormuz provided support for risk-sensitive assets. On 8 August, the Iranian side reported progress in talks with Oman over a possible new route through the strait, Read more…
Markets Core bonds sold off yesterday with the belly of the curve slightly underperforming in the US while European curves showed more of a bear flattening. Daily changes on the US curve varied between +4.7 Read more…
In focus today Today is very quiet in terms of data releases, with focus on the US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for July. The index rose to a four-month high of 97.4 in June, Read more…
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RBA accepted that inflation has improved, but refused to turn that improvement into a declaration that rate hikes are finished. Cash rate was left unchanged at 4.35% unanimously, yet Board described policy as only “somewhat Read more…
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. Inflation picked up materially in the second half of 2025, and information since the beginning of this year confirms Read more…
Key Highlights Gold started a fresh rally above the $4,250 region. It surpassed a major contracting triangle with resistance at $4,095 on the 4-hour chart. WTI Crude Oil started a recovery wave above $81.50 and Read more…
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