In focus today In the euro area, the September flash inflation print will be released. We expect the headline HICP inflation to rise to 3.6% y/y (prior: 3.2% y/y) and the core to rise slightly Read more…
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Key insights from the week that was. In Australia, this week’s main event was the RBA Monetary Policy Board’s (MPB) decision to raise the cash rate by 25bps to 4.60%. This outcome was universally expected Read more…
The short-term Elliott Wave view in Dow Futures (YM) shows that the cycle from the August 5, 2026 high remains active as a double three corrective structure. From that peak, wave (w) finished at 51609. Read more…
Key Highlights USD/JPY remained supported above 156.40 and climbed higher. It cleared a bullish flag pattern with resistance at 157.35 on the 4-hour chart. EUR/USD declined heavily and traded below 1.1300. The US nonfarm payrolls Read more…
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The OAT-Bund spread widened past 140.6bp, its widest since the 2012 eurozone debt crisis, as French 10-year yields surged to 4.935% while German Bund yields fell to 3.529%—a divergence pointing to a France-specific sovereign risk Read more…
Tokyo inflation accelerated sharply in September, with headline CPI rising from 1.9% to 2.7% y/y. More importantly, core CPI excluding fresh food jumped from 1.8% to 2.7%, beating the 2.4% consensus, while core-core CPI excluding Read more…
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said on October 1 that he sees the US economy remaining resilient, but warned that inflation risks are tilted to the upside as higher energy prices, the AI investment Read more…
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said in a Reuters interview on October 1 that further rate increases will likely be needed into 2027, while leaving the timing of the next move unresolved. Kashkari said he Read more…